Wolfram/Alpha vs Google: 0-1

There has been a lot of fuss going on lately regarding Stephen Wolfram’s ambitious project to create a comprehensive "computational knowledge engine." called Wolfram/Alpha.

UPDATE: Stephan Wolfram now also started a blog at http://blog.wolframalpha.com/

The Berkman Center for Internet & Society at Harvard University hosted yesterday 27 April 2009 a sneak preview of the Wolfram|Alpha system.

This was a full 2 hours webcast, with no screenshots (at least not during the webcast), just a talking head for 2 hours and Q&A from the audience.

I finally got hold of a screenshot via Techcrunch:

wolfram

There is already some good coverage on this by Larry Dignan, Editor in Chief of ZDNet, on his blog here.

Larry summarizes well:

“Four big pieces are behind Wolfram/Alpha:

  • Curated data: Free, licensed and feed data. Running through human and automated process to verify the data and make sure it’s “clean and curatable.” At some point, you need a human domain expert. 
  • Algorithms: Wolfram/Alpha uses a bevy of algorithms including 5 million to 6 million of mathematical code.
  • Linguistics: The goal is to interpret free-form language processing. Wolfram said Wolfram/Alpha uses various components and techniques to figure out what people are actually asking. Part of that process is filtering out fluff.  ”We’ve been pretty good at removing linguistic fluff,” said Wolfram, he said people eventually get to the point where they speak as if they were talking to an expert. “People quickly begin to just type in concepts as they come to them.”
  • Presentation: Algorithms try to pick out what’s important to the searcher. Again, Wolfram noted that human-aided algorithms are needed.

Instead of delivering up a bunch of links, the Wolfram/Alpha search engine tries to put a narrative around a user’s question and allow them to drill down. Indeed, the result presentation features graphics and other computational features. Think part calculator, part search engine. “

Interesting to see that Google upgraded and announced some new features during the Wolfram demo – and thereby taken all the attention away from Wolfram back to Google, and Wolfram fires back a couple of minutes/hours later. Some other coverage about this here and here and on Techcrunch.

The webcast itself was pretty boring. After 43 min of monologue, Stephen Wolfram opens the floor for questions. And the first question was right on.

A journalist from O’Reilly wanted to know more about the consistency of data, and whether you can trust the algorythm this much. Answer; what we are doing is creating an (or the ?) authoritative source of data. Mechanism for people to contribute data. And Wolfram to “audit” that data. Source identification is the key challenge in all this. All this makes me think of Ken Steel BSR (Basic Semantic Repository) Beacon project in the mid 90’ies, where he would be THE owner of the semantic repository that’s going to keep all tags and semantic meanings of date being carried around in XML-like tagged data.

Then David Weinberger asked if and when this will be opened up (see also my yesterday’s post on “think big – think open”. His question was in fact 3-fold. Open through:

  1. API’s: 3 levels of API’s: presentation, underlying XML, and symbolic expressions of underlying Mathematica source data.
  2. Metadata: when they open-up, plan is to expose some of the ontology through RDF.
  3. Upload personal data to the system: intention to have a professional version of Wolfram/Alpha, subscription based.

David Bermaste: what with questions/answers were scientists have difference in opinion, such as “Are certain classes of PCB’s human cancerogeneous ?” or in other words “who has the real truth ?”

Who is this for ? Kids or scientists ? Answer: “To make expert knowledge available to anybody, anywhere, anytime.” Wow. That’s ambitious.

What in case the question does not make sense ? For example “what is the 300th biggest state in Europe ?”. At this stage and in this version Wolfram/Alpha does not return you a result.

The challenge also seems to be how you keep the info and the universes of knowledge up to date. Today this project has +/- 100 people working on it (last period maybe 250), but what army of people do you need when this really goes live big way ? Answer: it’s probably going to end up with a 1,000 people. Sounds a bit underestimated to me if you ask.

In essence, all this is about Knowledge Management. And i know quite some companies that would be interested in throwing all their unstructured data and have an engine that can make meaning out of all that data. So the professional version may be up to something. But in it’s current state for the public in general to compete head to head with Google ? No, i don’t think so.

I suggest you also have a look at Mendeley, a start-up (initially from Germany, but now based in London), use parse and discover patterns in university research papers, but just think how this could be applied to basically any type of information. One of their VC’s is an ex Last.fm and ex-Skype (and also a professor or even a doctor in Economics at the University of Hamburg) and it’s interesting to see how these young net-generation guys are capable of telling their story in less then 2 minutes, with monetization topic included, and still leave you with a hunger and curiosity to want to know more.

I never got this thrill/feeling of “want to know more” during the 2 hour Wolfram webcast. I felt bored, and was asking myself all the time the question “what have i missed here ?” and a sort of compassion and respect for somebody’s lifework of the last 25-30 years.  I was also somewhat disturbed by what i consider a form of self-complacency, bit out of the ivory tower type of discourse, not really accessible for non-experts.

This Stephen is definitely a very smart and wise man, and it’s clear he is passionate about his work and is in search of “intellectual satisfaction”, but i am afraid he won’t be up to the power and sexiness of Google and many other newcomers on this stage.

But does this withstand what i would call the  “Jeff Jarvis’ Google Test” about new types of relationship, architecture, publicness, elegant organization, new economy and business reality, new attitude, ethics and last but not least speed ?

Pizzled: 1 Brain = 1 Dollar

There is a great presentation by Nova Spivack on the future of the web, the emergence of collective intelligence and the global brain.

Nova Spivack has been in space, has a great blog/news site, and has recently created Twine.com. I strongly recommend you to subscribe to Twine. It’s one of my great sources of information.

Nova is also a Tibetan Buddhist, which is not irrelevant in this context.

The presentation he delivered at the Singularity Summit Dec 2008 gives a longer term perspective beyond Web 2.0. Btw: all the key presentations of that Summit are now online.

Just to set the scene: by 2030 you will be able to buy the power of the human brain for 1 dollar. By 2040, machine intelligence will be one billion TIMES greater than all human intelligence together.

The presentation starts with a list of great thinkers: first of all this is a very humbling experience, and secondly a great shopping list for my next pile of books. It makes me so hungry to know more, which illustrates my oral character structure.

Quiz: in that list of great thinkers, Nova mentions 2 Flemish researchers/thinkers: if you spot their names, let me know via the comment of this post.  Prize ? Eternal Fame in my blog.

Then he leads you through concepts such as Web 4.0, the Web Wide World (not the World Wide Web), the evolution of crowds, groups, and meta-selves. This would be a great subject for my friend André Pelgrims, who specializes in group dynamics of people in flesh & blood (people like you and me 😉 and to see whether André’s model on group evolution with 4 phases would apply to the online world as well. The 4 phases André defines are:

  1. Forming & dependency. The individual is part of the group but with loss of his identity
  2. Storming & counter-dependency: scapegoating and the innocent gets all the shit.
  3. Independency. Expansion of the individual, helping/caring for others takes central stage
  4. Inter-Dependency: blend in the group without loss of identity. Genuinely sharing is key, nothings needs care or help.

You can find Nova’s presentation here. Enjoy.

This of course raises a lot of questions on our personal and corporate value kit for the future, and what it will mean to be a human, when indeed machine intelligence will be dramatically more powerful then our collective intelligence.

As some sort of counterbalance, i would also like to point you to a older (2007) TED presentation by Daniel Coleman (Emotional Intelligence) on Compassion by Daniel Coleman 2007. Thanks to my friend Sven for sharing this one.

All this technological evolutions still make us search & reach for REAL contact between people. Coleman describes the feeling of NOT getting attention when somebody uses his Blackberry/iPhone/whatever during a meeting or conversation: you feel “pizzled”, a combination of puzzled and pissed-off.

That’s because the other person does not give you real attention.

Coleman’s recommendation is to turn off your PDA’s, close your laptop, end your daydreams, and pay full attention to the other. And about the art of balancing between the self and the other selves, and the meta-selves of Nova Spivack. And so we are back to the Tibetan Buddhist.

Singularity: Web² and augmented First Life

I am a big fan of Ray Kurzweil.

Too make a long story short, he is predicting that man & machine will blend together around 2030, and that is not so far away !

It’s about augmented human beings. And superhumans. And what the impact on society of all that is.

A must read from Ray is his latest (already out there for 2 years or so) book: “The singularity is near

And have in this context also a look at the Singularity University. Not only the subject and idea of building a dedicated university for his is cool in itself (I enlisted for the 3 day program in Fall 2009, and i am anxiously waiting whether i will be accepted 😉 but have a look at who was there at their founding conference !

This is top-notch “crème de la crème” set of folks: Chris Anderson, Robert Freitas, Larry Page and a lot of other Google & NASA brains.

This is just going to happen. And it’s going to get in mainstream faster then we believe. Ray is even preparing a movie to get these thought permeated into mainstream thinking.

Talking about mainstream. I am again referring to my previous post on Tim O’Reilly’s keynote at WebExpo 2.0 earlier this month.

Free interpretation: forget about Second Life, it’s all about First Life augmented with stuff in the cloud.

In my opinion we are witnessing the singularity in some form already now in what Tim O’Reilly calls Web² (yep, you got it: not Web 2.0 but Web²): World + Web 2.0 = Web².

A human being augmented with sensors in the cloud and in the body, tapping the collective intelligence in this global brain that the web is becoming, sharing & collaborating in ways we never thought possible 5 years ago.

Or is all this too much SF to you ? Have i been reading to many Asimov ?

For the fun of it, i just remind you the 3 Asimov Laws of Robotics:

  • A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
  • A robot must obey orders given to it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
  • A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Law.

    I would be interested to hear from you on whether you believe this will happen or not. And all the above is very much inspired by things and folks working from Silicon Valley. Any cool similar things going on in the rest of the world ?

  • System to System

    My good friend Peter Hinssen is pretty busy these days. At the end of last year he wrote a book about the dead of alignment between IT and Business. It was and still is a big plea for “fusion”.

    Now he’s doing in video’s. The first one is called “The laws of IT”. You can find it here.

    In both stories there is something of “us” and “them”.

    It all illustrates the fact that we are trapped in talking system to system. For example: IT to Business. Or Marketing to Products. Or Ordering to Finance, etc.

    As long as we do this, we are “competing” between systems.

    We have to talk human to human. My way of co-operating with my colleagues changes dramatically when i have the mindset of “what story is behind that PERSON”.

    I start having genuine interest in that person, and it profoundly changes our co-operation potential.

    Singing my own song

    I finally decided to start my own blog.

    A lot in this blog will be about technology, mainly IT-related but not exclusively. And its impact on society. And reflecting what all this means for our personal and corporate values.

    The title of my first post is inspired by an personal development course i recently followed. The course is titled “Leading by Being”, and over an 18-month period I was part of a group of 10, who discovered themselves.

    In the end, it is all about discovering your true purpose in life. For myself, i discovered it is about “Inspiring other people to dream”.

    I can do this in many different authentic ways: in my family, at work, with friends, in communities, on-line.

    Wouldn’t it not be a shame if each of us has a song to sing in this world, and never gets to it because you are trapped in your current systems and thinking ?

    That’s why I want – it’s more than wanting, it’s so compelling that I must do this -  to sing my own song.

    Or as in a poem i wrote some years ago:

    I want to be playful like the birds,

    showing little tricks,

    challenge and pursue

    but not limited

    by any form of danger

    In essence, it’s about a free mind.